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07/29/2010 - Flushing, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Albert Pujols drove in the go-ahead run with a single in the top of the 13th inning, as the St. Louis Cardinals snuck past the New York Mets, 8-7, in the second test of a three-game series from Citi Field.
Matt Holliday hit a two-run homer and drove in a total of three runs for the Cardinals, who bounced back from an 8-2 loss in the opener of this series.
Starter Jaime Garcia went six innings, allowing three runs on six hits. He also knocked in two runs and scored once. Mike MacDougal (1-0) tossed a perfect 12th to pick up the win. Ryan Franklin recorded his 19th save of the year.
Angel Pagan and Carlos Beltran homered for the Mets, who are 3-10 in their last 13 contests. Mike Hessman and Ike Davis each had two RBI.
Johan Santana got rocked in 5 2/3 frames, giving up seven runs on a career- high 13 hits. Pedro Feliciano (2-6) allowed one run on one hit in 1 2/3 innings of relief to take the loss.
In the top of the 13th, Feliciano recorded a quick out before hitting Skip Schumaker with a pitch. Felipe Lopez followed with a walk. Runners were on the corners after Jon Jay grounded into a fielder's choice. Pujols then laced the ball into left field to plate Schumaker for an 8-7 edge.
Franklin retired the Mets in order in the home half to secure the victory.
Trailing 7-2, New York got a homer from Beltran in the home sixth to cut the gap to four.
The Mets then tied the contest with a four-run eighth. Mitchell Boggs gave up a leadoff single to Luis Castillo, who scored on Pagan's homer to right- center field. David Wright singled and Hessman was hit by a pitch before Jason Motte was called in from the bullpen. He got Jeff Francoeur to fly out for the second out. Dennys Reyes took over and walked Josh Thole to load the bases. Pinch-hitter Davis tied things with a two-run single to right. Kyle McClellan was called upon to get out of the inning.
Each team stranded men on first and second in the ninth.
The Cardinals exploded for six runs off Santana in the top of the first. Lopez led off with a single and came around to score on Holliday's two-out homer to left. Yadier Molina singled, Colby Rasmus doubled and Brendan Ryan was intentionally walked to load the bases. Garcia then helped his own cause with a two-run single. Schumaker and Lopez followed with consecutive RBI base hits to make it 6-0. Pujols lined out to end Santana's 38-pitch inning.
The Mets responded with two runs in the bottom half. A bunt single and two walks loaded the bases with two outs. Hessman drove in two runs with a double off the wall in left. Henry Blanco popped out to end the frame.
Both starting pitchers settled down after the first inning, as a runner didn't advance past second until the top of the sixth. With two outs, Jay and Pujols hit consecutive singles. Holliday followed with an RBI double down the right-field line, chasing Santana from the contest. Manny Acosta struck out Molina, but not before St. Louis took a 7-2 lead.
Game Notes
The Cardinals won two of three at home over the Mets from April 16-18, but lost four of six at Citi Field a season ago...St. Louis optioned pitcher Fernando Salas to Triple-A Memphis and recalled pitcher MacDougal from Memphis...Holliday extended his hitting streak to 13 games...The Mets were without outfielder Jason Bay (concussion)...The Cardinals had 16 hits, compared to 13 for the Mets.
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Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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MySportsbook.com Week 1 odds:
Saints +6 @ Colts -6
Falcons @ Vikings (pick ‘em)
Panthers @ Rams (pick ‘em)
Broncos -3.5 @ Bills +3.5
Chiefs -1 @ Texans +1
Dolphins +3 @ Redskins -3
Patriots -5 @ Jets +5
Eagles -3.5 @ Packers +3.5
Steelers -4 @ Browns +4
Titans +6 @ Jaguars -6
Bears +6 @ Chargers -6
Lions +3 @ Raiders -3
Bucs +6.5 @ Seahawks -6.5
Giants +4 @ Cowboys -4
Ravens +3 @ Bengals -3
Cardinals +3 @ 49ers -3
Super Bowl line (2008)
NFC +6.5 vs. AFC -6.5
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