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02/13/2010 - Hot Springs, AR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The first three finishers in the San Rafael Stakes at Santa Anita lead a field of 10 for Monday's $250,000 Southwest Stakes for three-year-olds at Oaklawn Park. The one-mile Southwest is the first of three Kentucky Derby preps at Oaklawn.
San Rafael winner Conveyance has drawn post two for the President's Day feature. Garrett Gomez has the riding assignment for owner Zabeel Racing and trainer Bob Baffert.
Conveyance captured the San Rafael by 1 3/4-lengths over Cardiff Giant with Domonation third. The gray colt is undefeated in three career starts with earnings of $104,400.
Christian Reyes is back riding Cardiff Giant and the pair will start to the immediate outside of Conveyance. The chestnut gelding is owned by M Racing and trained by Jorge Periban.
"We're going from the bottom to the top," said Periban from California on Friday morning. "He's changed a lot since we claimed him. He has matured a lot."
Cardiff Giant is a veteran of 10 lifetime starts with two wins, five seconds and two third-place finishes. He has banked $76,998.
Starting from post five will be Domonation and jockey Corey Nakatani. Domonation is trained by John Sadler for Joy Ride Racing and La Cresta Farm.
The gray colt was second behind Tiz Chrome in the Stuka Stakes at Hollywood Park in December. In five starts he has one win with two second-place finishes and a third for $63,020.
Here is the complete field for the Southwest in post position order: Kitty's Turn, Robby Albarado; Conveyance, Garrett Gomez; Cardiff Giant, Christian Reyes; Mission Impazible, John Velazquez; Domonation, Corey Nakatani; Dryfly, Calvin Borel; Crider, Luis Quinonez; Cool Bullet, Brian Hernandez, Jr; Pleasant Storm, Bryan McNeil and Dublin, Terry Thompson.
Post-time for the President's Day race is 6:02 p.m. (et).
The Oaklawn series for three-year-olds continues with the $300,000 Rebel Stakes on Saturday, March 13; and the $1 million Arkansas Derby, set for Saturday, April 10.
<< Tampa Bay's Upton loses arbitration case
St. Petersburg, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tampa Bay Rays outfielder B.J. Upton
lost his arbitration hearing, the team announced Saturday.
Upton, who was seeking $3.3 million, will make $3 million from the Rays this
season after earning $43
<< Rule rules the day at Tampa Bay Downs
Oldsmar, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Highly regarded three-year-old Rule accelerated
down the stretch to win Saturday's $225,000 Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay
Downs. The 1 1/16 mile race is the final local prep for the Tampa Bay Derby on
Saturda
<< Roma pounds Palermo to reclaim second
Rome, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Matteo Brighi scored twice and Roma defeated
Palermo, 4-1, on Saturday to move back into second place in Italy's Serie A.
AC Milan displaced Roma on Friday with a 3-2 win over Udinese, but Brighi was
on tar
<< Park's late tally leads Isles over Lightning
Uniondale, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Richard Park scored twice, including the
game-winning tally late in regulation as the New York Islanders edged Tampa
Bay, 5-4, at Nassau Coliseum.
Kyle Okposo, Doug Weight and Blake Comeau each pos
Ronaldo scores twice to lead Real over Xerez >>
Andalusia, Spain (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Cristiano Ronaldo returned from a two-game
suspension with a pair of goals, and Real Madrid scored three times after half
to defeat last-place Xerez 3-0 on Saturday in La Liga.
Real closed within two point
Eric helps Owls rout Rams >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Micheal Eric scored 19 points and Ryan
Brooks added 18, as the 21st-ranked Temple Owls shot the lights out in a 78-56
drubbing of Rhode Island in Atlantic 10 action.
The Owls (20-5, 8-2 A-10) looked
Twente bounces back to down Vitesse >>
Arnhem, Netherlands (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bryan Ruiz scored in the 82nd minute
and Ronnie Stam scored two minutes into stoppage time, as Twente bounced back
from its first loss of the season with a 2-1 win over Vitesse on Saturday in
the Dut
Hiddink to leave Russia this summer >>
Moscow, Russia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former Chelsea manager Guus Hiddink has
confirmed he will leave his current role as Russia's coach when his contract
expires in June.
Hiddink, who led the Blues to an FA Cup Final victory over E
Ten years ago, at just about this time, I called Alan Boston in Vegas and left him a voicemail that went something like this (abridged version): "Hey Alan, Chad Millman from ESPN The Magazine calling. I want to do a book about wise guys, you in?"
A couple weeks later I got a message back (abridged version): "I don't know, maybe," Boston said. "Call me and we'll talk about it. But not later today. I got $1,000 on Andre Agassi to win the French Open at 40-1, and he's in the finals."
Here's what happened next (abridged version): Agassi won his tourney. Boston won his $40,000. I wrote sportsbook.
In the ten years since, how much has been wagered on the big-time tennis events? Put it this way: The Nevada Gaming Commission doesn't even track the number year by year because it's so small.
"Tennis makes up about one-tenth of one percent of our take," says Lucky's bookmaking boss Jimmy Vaccaro. "The last big golf major we probably had $100,000 worth of bets. In tennis, we might have written two big tickets."
Tennis' lack of popularity amongst the American bettoratti is no surprise, really. For starters, the biggest sports betting holidays -- the Super Bowl, the NCAA tourney -- are must see TV. People, at least the degenerates I know, plan vacations around watching those events in Vegas sports books.
But Wimbledon? Doesn't exactly reel in the whales. "Seriously, it's the nuts as an event," says Boston. "But who even knows when it's on?"
Here's another reason that helps explain why golf gets traction, something I call "The Bubbe Theory." My Bubbe is pushing 95 and has cataracts so bad that, to her, even the most crystalline Chicago day is mostly cloudy. But she still listens to the Cubs games, and she still calls me in a fit if she disagrees with something Rick Telander writes in the Chicago Sun Times. She's a sports fan. If she doesn't know you, you're just filling a niche. And niche players, even historically good ones like Roger and Raf, don't drive betting volume. Only the highest profile names attract square money, which inflates wagering totals like a shot of saline to the lips. Bubbe, and the public, loved Agassi, tennis' last cross-the-rubicon, mainstream draw. She also has a crush on Tiger. She's given me standing orders to put a sawbuck on the big cat whenever I walk through a sports book (or mistakenly tap into one via my Internet machine.) That explains why the Masters is getting $100K in action at some books while the four tennis majors might not get that combined this year.
This isn't a case of tennis being a difficult sport to bet. In fact, in Europe, it's probably the second most popular sport for gambling after soccer. Granted, as the WSJ football betting last week and The Mag's Shaun Assael examined in even greater depth last year, that might be because gamblers across the pond see it as an easy game to fix. But it could also be because, over there it holds the kind of sway the big two do over here.
Street corners in Spain are peppered with public courts and kids doing their best Raffy impressions. In some war torn parts of Eastern Europe poverty-stricken kids view tennis as an escape route, like football or basketball here. A couple years ago The Mag's Lindsay Berra wrote a great piece about Belgrade's Jelena Jankovic, Ana Ivanovic and Novak Djokovic. They learned the game as kids while bombs were raining down on their homeland. They practiced in drained swimming pools. Not exactly Nick Bolletierri conditions.
In the United States, casual fans think tennis is played four times a year. But on the tightly packed European continent, national interest in homegrown talent runs deep every weekend. Of the ATP's current top 20 players, only two, tennis betting and James Blake, are American. Fourteen are from Europe, representing six different countries.
No wonder fans from Lisbon to Bhudapest get jacked up for the net game, whether it's Wimbledon or a low-level tourney like the Estoril Open in Portugal (congrats to Spain's Albert Montanes for winning that one, btw). Chances are good that someone representing their flag will not only be playing, but have a shot at winning.
And that's all any bettor can ask for.
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Teams that should be in: Michigan State, Indiana
Work left to do: Illinois, Purdue, Michigan, Iowa
Behind the big two, the pecking order might be in a bit of flux. Has Michigan State passed Indiana after handling the Hoosiers in East Lansing? Where is Illinois in that mix? What looked like a four-big league last week could be morphing into five -- and even six is not unthinkable at this point if everything breaks right.
Should be in:
Michigan State [21-8 (8-6), RPI: 20, SOS: 15] The Spartans made it four-for-four on the homestand, a gigantic accomplishment that leaves them in extremely good shape. MSU is only 1-6 on the road and is at Michigan and at Wisconsin to close things out, meaning the date with the Wolverines on Tuesday looms very, very large. Beating Texas early will hold up well, as will the rout of Bradley and the win over BYU, but will 8-8 be enough? It very well could be, as the computer numbers are good, but why chance it?
Indiana [18-9 (8-6), RPI: 24, SOS: 32] Hmm ... good thing the last two are at Northwestern and home to Penn State, because IU might want to get both to feel completely safe after dropping its third in the last four, fading after halftime at Michigan State. Who knew the best nonconference win would be over Southern Illinois, which is a gift that keeps on giving for the Hoosiers. The win over Wisconsin also looks good on the mantel.
Work left to do:
Illinois [21-9 (9-6), RPI: 31, SOS: 25] A good performance at Penn State leaves the Illini in pretty good shape. Can they go to Iowa and take care of business to really look on their way? That's a huge game, as there is a possible cluster of teams that will end at 9-7. Illinois beat Bradley, but has lost to Xavier. A 9-7 mark and a semifinals trip in Chicago could be enough with the computer profile hanging in there, but it would be better not to mess around, clinching at least a tie for third.
Purdue [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 47, SOS: 28] Couldn't get it done at Iowa, but did win at Northwestern to put 9-7 squarely in sight. Where does that leave the Boilermakers, though? Even if they beat Minnesota and Northwestern at home, that won't help the computer numbers. Nonconference wins over Virginia, DePaul and Oklahoma are solid, but not spectacular. The Boilers very well might need an upset in the B10 quarters to have a legit claim.
Michigan [19-10 (7-7), RPI: 55, SOS: 53] Well, Michigan did what it needed to do, winning at Minnesota to take control of its fate. The Wolverines have Michigan State and an already-wrapped-up-the-league Ohio State at home to close, so the chances are there. Win both and we can talk. There is no marquee win yet in the profile, and the Wolverines were splattered in several games against name opponents. A mediocre computer profile fueled by a lack of road wins isn't helping, either.
Iowa [16-12 (8-6), RPI: 80, SOS: 64] For the sake of being complete, we'll add Iowa, this season's Stanford. It's plausible that the Hawkeyes could get to 10-6 (at Penn State, vs. Illinois left), but where does that leave them after a gruesome nonconference performance where the best win was over ... Toledo? Iowa State? Cornell?? If they get to 10-6, we can start to look at what they need to do in the B10 tourney, although my gut sense is that they would need to make the final and have knocked off Ohio State or Wisconsin on the way to have any real claim.
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